idiv-idiv-

Project overview

marEEshift pursues the following overall scientific aims:

  1. Identify processes that increase or decrease the resilience of marine ecological-economic systems.
  2. Identify and initiate measures, institutions, and processes that could foster a resilient ecological-economic system of marine resource use in a regime of sustainability. This may require a regime shift from the current state of over-use towards a new resilient regime of sustainability.

 

To achieve these aims, we will study historical regime shifts in the Western Baltic Sea and beyond. We will explore the combinations of ecological, environmental (incl. climate-related), economic, social, and political drivers that have caused tipping points in the Western Baltic Sea and in cod-fisheries throughout the Northern Atlantic in the past.

In addition to that, we will study the effects of environmental change as well as multi-species interactions and multiple stakeholders on the resilience of the Western Baltic marine ecological-economic system, where commercial and recreational fisheries on cod and herring interact.

Besides analyzing what a regime of sustainability would be in the context of this specific ecological-economic system, we will explore the potential for a shift towards a regime of sustainability for the Western Baltic as a model case.

Granting agency: Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)

Project duration: 2019–2022


Work packages (WP)

WP 1: Engagement, management & outreach
WP 2: Evidence for tipping points
WP 3: Reasons for regime shifts
WP 4: Governance & agency

Contact

Dr Hans Sloterdijk

Coordinator
Phone:
Email: hans.sloterdijk@idiv.de
Full profile


Consortium

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The consortium of marEEshift is characterised by its experience in investigating aquatic resource management questions related to the topic of the call in its ecological, economic and social context. The consortium is strongly interdisciplinary and complementary in its expertise comprising nationally and internationally leading scientists in the field of resource- and sustainability economics, marine ecology and fisheries management, social-ecological interactions in fisheries and stakeholder involvement and communication.

Members of the consortium

14–16 December 2022: marEEShift modeling workshop
4–6 September 2022: marEEshift project special sessions
May/June/August 2022: Stay abroad
14–17 June 2022: World Conference on Natural Resource Modeling
10 November 2021: marEEshift retreat
11 October 2021: marEEshift data management meeting
4–6 October 2021: Midterm Conference for BioTip
17–19 September 2021: XXII Annual BIOECON Conference
7 September 2021: marEEShift  modelling workshop
8 June 2021: marEEShift  modelling workshop
1–4 June 2021: World Conference on Natural Resource Modeling
17 May 2021: marEEshift retreat
6 December 2020: Scientific surveys about fishing and the development of fish population on the German Baltic seacoast
25 November 2020: Economics Research Seminar
21–23 September 2020: EAERE Workshop on The Economics of Inequality and the Environment
March 2020: Series of marEEshift Workshops
21 November 2019: Western Baltic Summit
11–13 September 2019: XXI Annual BIOECON Conference
26/27 August 2019: marEEshift retreat
25/26 April 2019: marEEshirt kickoff meeting

Research output

Bronnmann J., Koemle D., Meyerhoff J., Weltersbach M.-C.Strehlow H.V.Arlinghaus R. (2022). Willingness to pay for harvest regulations and catch outcomes in recreational fisheries: A stated preference study of German cod anglers. Fisheries Research, 106536, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2022.106536

Schaber, V., Riekhof, M.-C.Stecher, M.Voss, R. and Baumgärtner, S. (2022). Stakeholders´ Normative Notions of Sustainability. A Survey for the Co-Design of a Sustainable Future of the Western Baltic Fishery System In S. Gomez Mestres & V. Köpsel, Transdisciplinary Marine Research – Bridging Science and Society (Volume 1). Abingdon: Routledge, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4135478

Grünhagen, C.; Schwermer, H., Wagner-Ahlfs, C., Rudi V., Gross, F., Riekhof, M.-C. (2022). The Multifaceted Picture of Transdisciplinarity in Marine Research In S. Gomez Mestres & V. Köpsel, Transdisciplinary Marine Research – Bridging Science and Society (Volume 1). Abingdon: Routledge. , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4135478

Schacht, K.Voss, R. (2022) German fishery’s adaptation to historic events in Schleswig–Holstein, Western Baltic Sea, 1890–1950. AMBIO, accepted; doi: 10.1007/s13280-022-01768-2

Riekhof, M.-C., Kluger, L.C., Salvatteci, R., Siebert, L., Voss, R. (2022). To tip or not to tip: The Window of Tipping Point Analysis for social-ecological systems. Natural Resource Modeling, e12357; https://doi.org/10.1111/nrm12357

Lennox, R. J., Sbragaglia, V., Vollset, K. W., Sortland, L. K., McClenachan, L., Jarić, I., Guckian, M. L., Ferter, K., Danylchuk, A. J., Cooke, S. J., Arlinghaus, R., Twarde, W. M. (2022). Digital fisheries data in the Internet age: Emerging tools for research and monitoring using online data in recreational fisheries. Fish and Fisheries, 23, 4, 926-940, https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12663

Koemle D., Meyerhoff J., Arlinghaus R., (2022). How catch uncertainty and harvest regulations drive anglers’ choice for pike (Esox lucius) fishing in the Baltic Sea, Fisheries Research, 106480

Stecher, M. & Baumgärtner, S. (2022). A stylized model of stochastic ecosystems with alternative stable states. Natural Resource Modeling, e12345. https://doi.org/10.1111/nrm.12345

Sbragaglia S., Espasandín L., Coco S., Felici A., Correia R.A., Col M., Arlinghaus R. (2022). Recreational angling and spearfishing on social media: insights on harvesting patterns, social engagement and sentiments related to the distributional range shift of a marine invasive species. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisherieshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11160-022-09699-7

Dao, N.T.  (2022). Climate Policy and Wealth Distribution. Environmental Modeling & Assessmenthttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-021-09809-y

Bos. B. (2021). Fishing under the Radar: Illuminating the Compliance Gap of Fishing Bans, SSRNhttp://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3871993 (working paper, last revised: 28.09.2021)

Haase K., Weltersbach M.S.Lewin W-C., Zimmermann C., Strehlow H.V. (2022), Potential effects of management options on marine recreational fisheries – the example of the western Baltic cod fishery, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 0, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsac012

Marshall D. J., Bode M., Mangel M., Arlinghaus R., Dick E. J. (2021). Reproductive hyperallometry and managing the world’s fisheries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 118 (34), e2100695118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2100695118

Ammar Y., Voss R., Niiranen S., Blenckner T. (2021). Quantifying socio-economic novelty in fisheries social-ecological systems. Fish and Fisheries. pp. 1-17, https://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12626

Voss R.Quaas M. (2021). Fisheries management and tipping points: Seeking optimal management of Eastern Baltic cod under conditions of uncertainty about the future productivity regime. Natural Resource Modeling. e12336. https://doi.org/10.1111/nrm.12336

Festa-Bianchet M., Arlinghaus R. (2021). How regulations can affect the evolutionary impacts of recreational harvests on fish and mammals. Pages 175-184 In: K. L. Pope, L. A. Powell (eds.), Harvest of fish and wildlife: new paradigms for sustainable management, CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group, Boca Raton, Florida

Lewin W-C., Weltersbach M.S., Haase K., Riepe C., Skov C., Gundelund C., Strehlow H. V. (2021). Comparing on-site and off-site survey data to investigate survey biases in recreational fisheries data. ICES Journal of Marine Science. 78(7). 2528-2546. https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab131

Lehmann, O., Schmidt, J., Voss, R. (2021). „De vorbisteringhe deß heringheß uthe deme Sunde“ – Indizien für eine vorindustrielle Überfischung des Ostseeherings. Hansische Geschichtsblätter. ISSN 0073-0327, ISBN 978-3-940677-09-9

Sbragaglia V., Jolles J. W., Coll M., Arlinghaus R. (2021). Fisheries-induced changes of shoaling behaviour: mechanisms and potential consequences. Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 36 (10), pp. 885-888. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2021.06.015

Möllmann, C.Cormon, X., Funk, S., Otto S. A., Schmidt J. O., Schwermer H., Sguotti C., Voss R., Quaas M. (2021). Tipping point realized in cod fishery. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 1-12. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-93843-z

Schwarz N., Haase A., Haase D., Kabisch N., Kabisch S., Liebelt V., Rink D., Strohbach M.W., Welz J., Wolff M. (2021). How Are Urban Green Spaces and Residential Development Related? A Synopsis of Multi-Perspective Analyses for Leipzig, Germany. Land. 10(6), 630. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10060630

Skov, C., Hyder, K., Gundelund, C., Ahvonen, A., Baudrier, J., Borch, T., deCarvalho, S, Erzini K., Ferter K., Grati F., van derHammen T., Hinriksson J., Houtman R., Kagervall A., Kapiris K., Karlsson M., Adam M Lejk A. M., Lyle J. M., Martinez-Escauriaza R., Moilanen P, Mugerza E., Olesen H. J., Papadopoulos A., Pita P., Pontes J., Radford Z., Radtke K., Rangel M., Sagué O., Sande H. A., Strehlow H. V., Tutiņš R., Veiga P., Verleye T., Vølstad J. H., Watson J. W., Weltersbach M.S., Ustups D., Venturelli P.A. (2021). Expert opinion on using angler Smartphone apps to inform marine fisheries management: status, prospects, and needs. ICES Journal of Marine Science. 78(3), 967-978. https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsaa243

Lewin WC.Weltersbach M. S., Haase K., Strehlow H. V. (2021). Who travels how far: German Baltic sea anglers’ travel distances as precondition for fisheries management and coastal spatial planning. Ocean & Coastal Management. 209: 105640. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2021.105640

Weltersbach M.S., Riepe C, Lewin W-C.Strehlow H.V. (2021). Ökologische, soziale und ökonomische Dimensionen des Meeresangelns in Deutschland. (No. 1421-2021-805). doi: 10.22004/ag.econ.309675

Arlinghaus, R., Aas, Ø., Alós, J., Arismendi, I., Bower, S., Carle, S., … Yang, Z. J. (2021). Global participation in and public attitudes towards recreational fishing: international perspectives and developments. Reviews in Fisheries Science & Aquaculture, 29(1), 58-95. https://doi.org/10.1080/23308249.2020.1782340

Jeanson A. L., Lynch A. J., Thiem J. D., Potts W. M., Haapasalo T., Danylchuk A. J., Beard T.  D., Arlinghaus R., Hunt L. M., Young N., Cooke S. J. (2021). A bright spot analysis of inland recreational fisheries in the face of climate change: learning about adaptation from small successes. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries. 31(2), 181-200. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11160-021-09638-y

Sbragaglia, V., Coco, S., Correia, R. A., Coll, M., Arlinghaus, R. (2021). Analyzing publicly available videos about recreational fishing reveals key ecological and social insights: a case study about groupers in the Mediterranean Sea. Science of the Total Environment. 765, 142672. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11160-021-09638-y

Quaas, M.F., Meya, J.N., Schenk, H., Bos, B., Drupp, M.A. and T. Requate (2021). The social cost of contacts: Theory and evidence for the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany. PLoS ONE 16(3): e0248288. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248288

Meya J.N., Drupp M.A., Hanley N. (2021). Testing Structural Benefit Transfer: The Role of Income Inequality. Resource and Energy Economics. 64: 101217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.reseneeco.2021.101217

Baumgärtner, S. (2020). Responsibility for regime shifts in managed ecosystems. Available at SSRN 3752006. http://ssrn.com/abstract=3752006

Aminpour, P., Gray, S. A., Jetter, A. J., Introne, J. W., Singer, A., Arlinghaus, R. (2020). Wisdom of stakeholder crowds in complex social–ecological systems. Nature Sustainability. 3(3), 191-199. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0467-z

Jarić, I., Roll, U., Arlinghaus, R., Belmaker, J., Chen, Y., China, V., …. & Correia, R. A. (2020). Expanding conservation culturomics and iEcology from terrestrial to aquatic realms. PLoS Biology, 18(10), e3000935. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3000935

Cooke S. J., Venturelli P., Twardek W. M., Lennox R. J., Brownscombe J. W., Skov Ch., Hyder K:, Suski C. D., Diggles B. K., Arlinghaus R., Danylchuk A. J. (2021). Technological innovations in the recreational fishing sector: implications for fisheries management and policy. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries31(2), 253-288. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11160-021-09643-1

Gundelund, C., Arlinghaus, R., Baktoft, H., Hyder, K., Venturelli, P., Skov, C. (2020). Insights into the users of a citizen science platform for collecting recreational fisheries data. Fisheries Research. 229, 105597. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fishres.2020.105597

Lewin W-C.Weltersbach M.S., Denfeld G., Strehlow H.V. (2020). Recreational anglers’ perceptions, attitudes and estimated contribution to angling related marine litter in the German Baltic Sea. Journal of Environmental Management. 272: 111062. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111062

Bos, B.Drupp, M.A.Meya, J.N.Quaas M.F. (2020). Moral suasion and the private provision of public goods: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic. Environmental and Resource Economics. 76(4), 1117–1138. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-020-00477-2

Holder P. E., Jeanson A. L., Lennox R. J, Brownscombe J. W., Arlinghaus R., Danylchuk A. J., … & Cooke S. J. (2020). Preparing for a changing future in recreational fisheries: 100 research questions for global consideration emerging from a horizon scan. Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries30(1), 137-151. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11160-020-09595-y

Arlinghaus R., Abbott J. K., Fenichel E. P., Carpenter S.R., Hunt L. M., Alós J., … & Manfredo M. J. (2019). Opinion: Governing the recreational dimension of global fisheries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 116 (12), 5209-5213. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1902796116

Sguotti C., Cormon X. (2018). Regime shifts–a global challenge for the sustainable use of our marine resources. In YOUMARES 8 – Oceans Across Boundaries: Learning from each other. Springer, Cham, 155-166.

Sguotti C., Otto S.A., Cormon X., Werner K. M., Deyle E., Sugihara G., Möllmann C. (2019). Non-linearity in stock–recruitment relationships of Atlantic cod: insights from a multi-model approach. ICES Journal of Marine Science. 77(4), 1492-1502. https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsz113

Sguotti C., Otto S.A., Frelat R., Langbehn T. J., Ryberg M.P., Lindegren M., … & Möllmann C. (2019). Catastrophic dynamics limit Atlantic cod recovery. Proceedings of the Royal Society B.286(1898), 20182877. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2018.2877

Arlinghaus R. (2019). Bioökonomische Ansätze für ein nachhaltiges Management von wildlebenden Süßwasserfischen. In Rundgespräche Forum Ökologie. Vol. 48, pp. 59-70.

Cooke S. J., Twardek W. M., Reid A. J., Lennox R. J., Danylchuk S. C., Brownscombe J. W., Bower S. D., Arlinghaus R., Hyder K., Danylchuk A. J. (2019). Searching for responsible and sustainable recreational fisheries in the Anthropocene. Journal of Fish Biology, 94(6), 845–856. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfb.13935