{"id":45606,"date":"2026-09-04T11:41:45","date_gmt":"2026-09-04T09:41:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/?page_id=45606"},"modified":"2026-09-04T11:41:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-04T09:41:45","slug":"birdfutures","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/de\/forschung\/juniorforschungsgruppen\/birdfutures\/","title":{"rendered":"BirdFutures"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"herosection pb-0 pt-0 no-bg modulclass \" id=\"\">\n                    <div class=\"swiper1noslider  nooverflow swiper thinslider\" id=\"slide_6a9ae04090d18\">\n        \n                <div class=\"swiper-wrapper\">\n                                            <div class=\"swiper-slide  style_ \" aria-hidden=\"true\" >\n                            <div class=\"backstretchwrap\">\n                        \n                            <div datasrc=\"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/iDiv-BirdFuture-16x9-AdobeStock_1673639606.jpg\" class=\"backstretchimg responsiv desktop\"><\/div>\n\n                            <a href=\"#\" class=\"cr\"><svg  xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" viewBox=\"0 0 22 22\">\n                                    <rect id=\"BG\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" rx=\"11\" fill=\"#fff\"\/>\n                                    <g id=\"Wrapper\" transform=\"translate(-1 -1)\">\n                                        <g id=\"Icon_material-copyright\" data-name=\"Icon material-copyright\">\n                                            <circle id=\"Ellipse_30\" data-name=\"Ellipse 30\" cx=\"8\" cy=\"8\" r=\"8\" transform=\"translate(4 4)\" fill=\"#fff\"\/>\n                                            <path id=\"Icon_material-copyright-2\" data-name=\"Icon material-copyright\" d=\"M9.464,10.088a2.045,2.045,0,0,1,.24-.7,1.4,1.4,0,0,1,.472-.5,1.42,1.42,0,0,1,.728-.184,1.45,1.45,0,0,1,.5.1,1.29,1.29,0,0,1,.416.288,1.54,1.54,0,0,1,.272.424,1.4,1.4,0,0,1,.112.512H13.64a2.864,2.864,0,0,0-.224-1.032,2.4,2.4,0,0,0-.56-.808,2.613,2.613,0,0,0-.864-.528,3.09,3.09,0,0,0-1.112-.184,3.127,3.127,0,0,0-1.36.272,2.751,2.751,0,0,0-.96.736,3.007,3.007,0,0,0-.568,1.088A4.685,4.685,0,0,0,7.8,10.9v.216a4.684,4.684,0,0,0,.184,1.312,2.908,2.908,0,0,0,.568,1.08,2.731,2.731,0,0,0,.96.728,3.246,3.246,0,0,0,1.36.272,3.051,3.051,0,0,0,1.056-.184,2.729,2.729,0,0,0,.864-.5,2.442,2.442,0,0,0,.592-.752,2.153,2.153,0,0,0,.24-.92H12.192a1.139,1.139,0,0,1-.12.464,1.177,1.177,0,0,1-.288.368,1.26,1.26,0,0,1-.416.24,1.589,1.589,0,0,1-.48.08,1.359,1.359,0,0,1-.712-.184,1.4,1.4,0,0,1-.472-.5,2.09,2.09,0,0,1-.24-.7,5.392,5.392,0,0,1-.064-.8V10.9a5.33,5.33,0,0,1,.064-.808ZM11,3a8,8,0,1,0,8,8A8,8,0,0,0,11,3Zm0,14.4A6.4,6.4,0,1,1,17.4,11,6.408,6.408,0,0,1,11,17.4Z\" transform=\"translate(1 1)\" fill=\"#4d4d4d\"\/>\n                                        <\/g>\n                                    <\/g>\n                                <\/svg>\n                                <span>Uwe \/ Adobe Stock<\/span><\/a>                        \n                                                    <\/div>\n                                        <div class=\"sliderinhalt \" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"carousel\">\n\n                                            <h1 class=\"h1 tcenter\" >BirdFutures<\/h1>                                                    <p style=\"text-align: center;\">Unsere Gruppe simuliert die langfristigen Auswirkungen von Entscheidungen zur Landnutzung und zum Klima. So \u00fcbersetzen wir komplexe wissenschaftliche Erkenntnisse in klare Handlungsoptionen f\u00fcr naturpositive Ergebnisse.<\/p>\n                                                \n                                                                                                            <\/div>\n                                            <\/div>\n\n                        \n                 <\/div>\n\n                              <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"textbildrepeater pb-24 pt-0 no-bg modulclass \" id=\"\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n        <div class=\"row\">\n                                                                <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-6 offset-md-3 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p>Im Rahmen der <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fona.de\/de\/fona-strategie\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"open in new tab\" rel=\"noopener\">FONA-Strategie<\/a> ist BirdFutures die Komponente f\u00fcr Szenarioanalyse und Prognose innerhalb der <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ufz.de\/triplebird\/index.php?de=52656\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"open in new tab\" rel=\"noopener\">TripleBird-Initiative<\/a>. Sie \u00fcbersetzt \u00f6kologisches Monitoring in handlungsrelevante Vorausschau und wissenschaftsbasierte Entscheidungsgrundlagen f\u00fcr Politik und Beh\u00f6rden.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-48   mod_bild  col-md-4 offset-md-4 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"bildrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <div class=\"relativ\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"responsiv desktop\" src=\"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Logo-BirdFutures-scaled.png\" height=\"\" width=\"\" alt=\"idiv-\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"responsiv mobile\" src=\"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Logo-BirdFutures-scaled.png\" height=\"\" width=\"\" alt=\"idiv-\"\/><\/div><\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-2 offset-md-3 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Bending the Curve<\/strong><br \/>\nEntwicklung eines weg&shy;wei&shy;senden Rahmen&shy;\u00adwerks, das die erforder&shy;lichen wissen&shy;schaft&shy;\u00adlichen Erkennt&shy;\u00adnisse liefert, um den R\u00fcck\u00ad&shy;gang der Arten umzukehren und den Verlust der biolo\u00ad&shy;gischen Viel&shy;falt zu bremsen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-2 offset-md-0 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p><strong>Dynamische Modellarchitektur<\/strong><br \/>\nAufbau eines nicht-statischen, hierar&shy;chischen Model&shy;lierungs&shy;systems, das sich je nach r\u00e4um&shy;licher Auf&shy;l\u00f6sung und Daten&shy;verf\u00fcg&shy;bar&shy;keit in ganz Europa effektiv skalieren l\u00e4sst.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-2 offset-md-0 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p><strong>V\u00f6gel als Indikatoren<br \/>\n<\/strong>Nutzung von Vogel&shy;popula&shy;tionen als hoch&shy;empfind&shy;liche und gut dokumen&shy;tierte Indika&shy;toren f\u00fcr die Zustand der Umwelt, um ein verl\u00e4ss&shy;lichen System f\u00fcr \u00f6kolo&shy;gische Prognosen zu schaffen.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-2 offset-md-3 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p><strong>Iterativer wissen&shy;schaftlicher Zyklus<br \/>\n<\/strong>Einf\u00fchrung eines Kreis&shy;laufs, bei dem Prog&shy;nosen durch Abgleich mit realen Daten verfeinert werden. So lassen sich Genauig&shy;keit gew\u00e4hr&shy;leisten und schnell auf neue Beob&shy;ach&shy;tungs&shy;daten reagieren.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-2 offset-md-0 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p><strong>Evidenzbasierte Bericht\u00aderstattung<br \/>\n<\/strong>Bereitstellung hoch\u00adpr\u00e4ziser Daten zur Unter\u00adst\u00fctzung der Umset\u00adzung nationaler Biodi\u00adversi\u00adt\u00e4ts\u00adstrategien und inter\u00adnatio\u00adnaler insti\u00adtutio\u00adneller Berichts\u00adpflichten.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-2 offset-md-0 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p><strong>Beobachtung und Wissen&shy;schaft verbinden:<\/strong> Verkn\u00fcpfung von bio&shy;lo&shy;gischen Beobach&shy;tungen mit zukunfts&shy;orien&shy;tierten Modellen, um Natur&shy;schutz&shy;ma\u00dfnahmen zu optimieren und die lang&shy;fristige Wider&shy;stands&shy;f\u00e4hig&shy;keit von \u00d6ko&shy;systemen zu sichern.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-0   mod_text  col-md-6 offset-md-3 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p>BirdFutures untersucht \u201eWas-w\u00e4re-wenn\u201c-Szenarien, die gemeinsam mit Akteuren aus Landwirtschaft, Forstwirtschaft, Energie sowie weiteren Schl\u00fcsselbranchen wie Bauwesen und Finanzsektor entwickelt werden.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Gemeinsame Wege:<\/strong> Wir simulieren die langfristigen Auswirkungen von Entscheidungen zur Landnutzung und zum Klima. So \u00fcbersetzen wir komplexe wissenschaftliche Erkenntnisse in klare Handlungsoptionen f\u00fcr naturpositive Ergebnisse.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>Entscheidungsunterst\u00fctzung:<\/strong> Wir liefern entscheidende Vorausschau f\u00fcr die Umsetzung politischer Ma\u00dfnahmen und f\u00fcr institutionelle Berichterstattung in \u00f6ffentlichen und privaten Sektoren.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<hr class=\"modulborder nm np\"><div class=\"headline pb-0 pt-24 no-bg modulclass  block\" id=\"\">\n    <div class=\"container\"><div class=\"row\"><div class=\"col-md-12 relative\"><h2 class=\"h2 tcenter mb-64\" >Kontakt<\/h2><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"textbildrepeater pb-0 pt-0 no-bg modulclass \" id=\"\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n        <div class=\"row\">\n                                                                <div class=\"pb-24   mod_text  col-md-4 offset-md-2 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p><strong>Anschrift<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Deutsches Zentrum f\u00fcr integrative Biodiversit\u00e4tsforschung Halle-Jena-Leipzig \u2013 iDiv<br \/>\nPuschstra\u00dfe 4<br \/>\n04103 Leipzig<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                                                                    <div class=\"pb-24   mod_text  col-md-4 offset-md-0 pos_top\">\n                            <div class=\"textrepeater \" id=\"\">\n    <p><strong>Affiliationen<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Helmholtz-Zentrum f\u00fcr Umweltforschung \u2013 UFZ<\/p>\n<p>Deutsches Zentrum f\u00fcr integrative Biodiversit\u00e4tsforschung Halle-Jena-Leipzig \u2013 iDiv<\/p>\n<\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class='pt-48 pb-24 no-bg'><div class='container'><div class='row justify-content-center pb-3 profile-short gx-4 gy-4'>\n                <div class='col-12 col-sm-6 col-md-6 col-lg-4 pb-3'>\n                    <div class='row align-items-center'>\n                        <div class='col-4 col-sm-6'>\n                            <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"472\" height=\"472\" src=\"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Tatiane-Micheletti-Portrait.png\" class=\"img-fluid rounded-circle w-100 wp-post-image\" alt=\"Portrait of Tatiana Micheletti\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Tatiane-Micheletti-Portrait.png 472w, https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Tatiane-Micheletti-Portrait-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Tatiane-Micheletti-Portrait-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 472px) 100vw, 472px\" \/>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class='col-8 col-sm-6'>\n                            <p class='mb-2'>\n                                <strong>Dr. Tatiane Micheletti<\/strong>\n                            <\/p>\n                            <p class='mb-1'>\n                                Nachwuchs-Forschungsgruppenleiterin<br>\n                                Telefon: <a href='tel:+49 341 9733238' class='text-decoration-none'>+49 341 9733238<\/a><br>\n                                E-Mail: <a href='mailto:tatia&#110;&#101;&#46;&#109;&#105;&#99;&#104;&#101;&#108;&#101;&#116;&#116;&#105;&#64;&#105;&#x64;&#x69;&#x76;&#x2e;&#x64;&#x65;' class='text-decoration-none'>&#x74;&#x61;&#x74;&#x69;&#x61;&#x6e;&#x65;&#x2e;&#x6d;&#x69;&#x63;&#104;&#101;&#108;&#101;&#116;&#116;&#105;&#64;idiv&#46;&#x64;&#x65;<\/a><br>\n                            <\/p>\n                            <span class='profile-short-link'>\n                                <a href='https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/de\/staff\/tatiane-micheletti\/' class='ps-0 pe-1 btncf arrow'>\n                                    Zum Profil\n                                    <svg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' 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srcset=\"https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Franziska-Roderburg-Portrait.png 472w, https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Franziska-Roderburg-Portrait-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Franziska-Roderburg-Portrait-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 472px) 100vw, 472px\" \/>\n                        <\/div>\n                        <div class='col-8 col-sm-6'>\n                            <p class='mb-2'>\n                                <strong> Franziska Roderburg<\/strong>\n                            <\/p>\n                            <p class='mb-1'>\n                                Administrative Assistentin<br>\n                                Telefon: <a href='tel:+49 341 9733114' class='text-decoration-none'>+49 341 9733114<\/a><br>\n                                E-Mail: <a href='ma&#105;&#108;&#116;&#111;&#x3a;&#x66;&#x72;&#x61;&#x6e;zi&#115;&#107;&#97;&#46;&#x72;&#x6f;&#x64;&#x65;&#x72;bu&#114;&#103;&#64;&#105;&#x64;&#x69;&#x76;&#x2e;&#x64;e' class='text-decoration-none'>&#x66;r&#x61;&#110;&#x7a;&#x69;s&#x6b;&#97;&#x2e;&#x72;o&#x64;&#101;&#x72;&#x62;u&#x72;&#103;&#x40;&#x69;d&#x69;&#118;&#x2e;&#x64;e<\/a><br>\n                            <\/p>\n                            <span class='profile-short-link'>\n                                <a href='https:\/\/www.idiv.de\/de\/staff\/franziska-roderburg\/' class='ps-0 pe-1 btncf arrow'>\n                                    Zum Profil\n                                    <svg xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg' width='5.621' height='12.243' viewBox='0 0 7.621 12.243'>\n                                        <path id='Icon_feather-chevron-right' d='M17.5,17l-4-4,4-4' transform='translate(19.621 19.121) rotate(180)' fill='none' stroke='#447226' stroke-linecap='round' stroke-linejoin='round' 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